Idoia Mendia· S&D

Confirmed

40% of jobs are already affected by artificial intelligence, and up to 60% in advanced economies

Omissions

• The claim uses slightly imprecise language ('affected') compared to the IMF's technical term ('exposed'). The IMF report notes that exposure does not necessarily mean job displacement—roughly half of exposed jobs in advanced economies may actually benefit from AI integration. The data is from January 2024 (IMF Staff Discussion Note SDN/EA/2024/001), not 2026, though this was the most recent IMF data available at the time of the January 2026 speech.

Sources

• PrimaryIMF Staff Discussion Note - Gen-AI: Artificial Intelligence and the Future of WorkGlobally, 40% of jobs are exposed to AI; in advanced economies, approximately 60% of jobs are exposed to AI
• PrimaryIMF Blog - AI Will Transform the Global EconomyIn advanced economies, about 60 percent of jobs may be impacted by AI. Roughly half the exposed jobs may benefit from AI integration.
• SecondaryPolitico - IMF report: 40 percent of jobs exposed to AIIMF report states 40% of jobs globally exposed to AI; in advanced economies, about 60% of jobs are exposed to AI due to prevalence of cognitive-task-oriented jobs
• SecondaryBBC - AI to hit 40% of jobs and worsen inequality, IMF saysAI is set to affect nearly 40% of all jobs according to IMF analysis; 60% of jobs in advanced economies exposed