96% of heat pumps for homes are produced in China.

Error detected

The claimed 96% share of global heat pump production is massively inflated. The most authoritative available source (IEA) puts China's share of globally manufactured heat pumps at approximately 40% in 2023, with export share at around 50%.

No evidence was found supporting a 96% figure for any metric related to heat pump production — neither global manufacturing, exports, nor EU-specific imports.

Omissions

• The IEA data available is from 2023, three years before the claim was made in May 2026. More recent data (2024–2025) would provide a more precise comparison, though the gap between 40% and 96% is so vast that no plausible market shift in 2–3 years could close it.
• The claim does not specify whether it refers to global production, EU imports, or a specific sub-segment (e.g., air-source heat pumps for residential use). Even in the most China-favourable metric — exports — the IEA reports only 50%, not 96%.
• The MEP cites no source for the 96% figure, and no evidence of this figure was found in any reputable primary or secondary source.

Sources

• PrimaryInternational Energy Agency (IEA)In 2023, 40% of heat pumps sold globally were manufactured in China, more than the heat pumps manufactured in the European Union. China's share of global heat pump exports was 50% in 2023.
• SecondaryHeat Pumping Technologies (IEA HPT TCP)China remains the largest heat pump market globally, holding the largest share of manufacturing capacity for heat pump units and certain key components.