EU-Canada bilateral trade in goods and services rose 80% under CETA's provisional application, from EUR 72.1 billion in 2016 to EUR 130 billion in 2025.

Omissions

• The comparison is in nominal terms and not adjusted for inflation or exchange-rate movements, so part of the 80% growth reflects price developments rather than only CETA-driven volume growth.
• The baseline year used (2016) predates CETA's provisional entry into application (21 September 2017), so the growth is measured from one year before the agreement began to apply provisionally, not strictly 'since' provisional application.
• 2025 trade-in-services data are the most recent and may be partly provisional/estimated; services trade in 2025 was about €49 billion and goods about €81.5 billion.
• Trade in goods with Canada also grew strongly in 2025 partly in the context of US tariff measures diverting trade, so attributing the full 80% to CETA alone is an interpretive step.

Sources

• PrimaryEuropean Commission — DG Trade, 'EU trade relations with Canada'"In 2025, EU-Canada bilateral trade in goods and services increased by 80%, reaching €130 billion in 2025: up from €72.1 billion in 2016"
• PrimaryCouncil of the EU (Consilium) — 'EU-Canada trade: facts and figures'"In 2025, EU-Canada trade in goods and services amounted to over €130 billion... In 2025, EU-Canada trade in goods amounted to €81.5 billion... In 2025, EU-Canada trade in services amounted to €49 billion."
• SecondaryEuronews — 'What is CETA – and why is the EU-Canada trade deal still in limbo'"The Commission says the agreement boosted EU-Canada bilateral trade in goods and services ... €130 billion, up from €72.1 billion recorded nine [years earlier]"