Fertilizer prices are almost triple the level of 2022.

Error detected

The claim states fertiliser prices are 'almost triple' (3x) the 2022 level. Eurostat data from Q4 2025 shows only an 8.0% year-on-year increase, and global fertiliser price indices from the World Bank show a 15% rise in early 2025 — orders of magnitude below a tripling.

2022 was the year fertiliser prices reached historic highs following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Claiming current prices are triple that peak level is factually impossible given the modest increases recorded since.

No primary or secondary source found supports anything close to a 200% price increase from 2022 levels.

Omissions

• The MEP did not cite any source for the claim.
• No direct Eurostat index comparing 2025 prices to the 2022 annual average was found within the search limit, but the available quarterly data showing 8% annual increases is fundamentally incompatible with a tripling from 2022.
• 2022 was an extreme peak year for fertiliser prices (Russia-Ukraine war); a tripling from that already-elevated baseline would imply a catastrophic price shock that is not reflected in any reported data.

Sources

• PrimaryEurostatIn the fourth quarter of 2025, the average price of fertilisers and soil improvers in the EU rose by 8.0% compared with the same quarter of 2024. In 2025, prices increased again for 4 consecutive quarters.
• SecondaryWorld Bank Data BlogFertilizer prices rose 15% in early 2025, led by TSP (+43%) and DAP (+23%), amid high demand, trade barriers, and supply cuts.
• SecondaryHortidailyIn the fourth quarter of 2025, the average price of fertilizers and soil amendments in the European Union rose 8.0% compared to the same quarter of 2024. The sharpest rises were recorded in Romania (+16.8%), Ireland (+15.3%), and the Netherlands (+12.1%).