Forced decarbonisation policies have led to an explosive increase in energy and gas prices.

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The term 'explosive increase' is contradicted by official Eurostat data showing that in H2 2025: non-household electricity prices fell 5.4% YoY, non-household gas prices fell 8.3%, and household electricity prices were 'largely stable' with only a marginal increase.

Attributing energy price trends to decarbonisation policies is causally misleading: the 2022 energy crisis was overwhelmingly driven by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the disruption of Russian gas supplies, not by EU climate policy.

Omissions

• The claim fails to specify a time period, conflating the 2021–2022 energy crisis with current trends. In the most recent data (H2 2025), most energy price categories are falling or stable.
• The causal attribution to 'forced decarbonisation policies' ignores the well-documented primary cause of the 2022 energy price crisis: Russia's weaponisation of gas supplies following its invasion of Ukraine.
• The claim omits that non-household energy prices — which drive industrial competitiveness — fell significantly in H2 2025 (electricity -5.4% YoY, gas -8.3%).
• Long-term analyses (Bruegel, IEA) project that decarbonisation will reduce European electricity costs over time, contradicting the implied causal direction.
• Some sources were published after the session date (e.g., Trading Economics data from June 2026), though the underlying Eurostat data covers periods before the session.
• TTF gas prices in 2026 (~€40–50/MWh) remain approximately 75–80% below the 2022 crisis peak of over €200/MWh.

Sources

• PrimaryEurostat – Electricity Price StatisticsElectricity prices for non-household consumers in the EU fell by 5.4% in the second half of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 and by 3.5% from the first half of 2025.
• PrimaryEurostat – Natural Gas Price StatisticsIn the first half of 2025, prices showed a drop to €0.1143 per kWh, and they increased in the second half of the year (€0.1228) for household consumers. Non-household gas prices fell to €6.05 per 100 kWh from €6.60 in H1 2025 (-8.3%).
• PrimaryEurostat – News Release: Household Electricity PricesIn the second half of 2025, average electricity prices for households in the EU remained largely stable, with a slight increase to €28.96 per 100 kWh. In the first half of 2025, prices were €28.72 per 100 kWh, a marginal 0.5% decline.
• PrimaryIEA – Electricity 2026: PricesEU futures prices as of 26 January 2026 averaged around USD 95/MWh for 2026, broadly in line with 2025 levels, before easing to roughly USD 85/MWh in 2027.
• SecondaryTrading Economics – EU Natural Gas TTFTTF Gas rose to 48.92 EUR/MWh on June 10, 2026, up 0.36% from the previous day. Over the past month, TTF Gas's price has risen 5.81%, and is up 35.96% compared to the prior year. This remains far below the 2022 crisis peak of over 200 EUR/MWh.
• SecondaryBruegel – Decarbonising CompetitivenessProjected energy cost comparisons for the middle of the century have indicated that European electricity costs will fall with decarbonisation.