Illegal arrivals to the European Union fell by 55% over the last two years (2024-2026).
85% confidence
MigrationEuropean Union
Omissions
Frontex counts 'detections of irregular border crossings', not unique persons or 'arrivals' per se; a single person crossing more than once can be counted more than once.
The 55% two-year figure is a rounded compound of the annual changes reported by Frontex (-38% in 2024 and -26% in 2025), which compound to about -54% (2023 base ≈380,000 → 2025 ≈177,000), not an independently published '55%' statistic in the Frontex releases found.
Frontex notes the 2025 level was the lowest since 2021, and the 37% 'this year' figure is the first-half-2026 figure; within the same year Frontex reported larger declines for shorter windows (-52% in the first two months, -40% in the first four months), so the 37% is a conservative rather than cherry-picked figure.
The exact same phrasing ('-55% in the last two years, another -37% so far this year') appears in an official European Commission statement (Commissioner Brunner, Ceuta), i.e. the figure is part of the Commission's own messaging rather than an independently derived number.