The MEP did not cite a specific poll, pollster, or fieldwork date. Polling aggregators show the AfD generally between 38% and 43% across different institutes, with some polls above and some slightly below the 40% threshold.
The claim benefits from being made close to the state election (September 2026), when media attention on Saxony-Anhalt polls is high and the AfD's polling advantage is widely reported.
The speaker is an AfD MEP and the claim serves his party's political narrative. No independent data source was provided to the audience.
Sources
AcademicGlobal Europe JournalWhile some 40 percent of the electorate now supports the AfD in Saxony-Anhalt, a growing number of voices there and in Germany more broadly forcefully oppose the idea.
Secondaryeurotopics.netThe number of respondents in a poll in Saxony-Anhalt who said they intend to vote for the AfD in the next state elections rose to above 40 percent.
SecondaryIl Sole 24 OreAlternative für Deutschland is preparing to triumph in the September elections and could win an absolute majority and government in a Land. AfD breaks the 40 percent threshold in the polls in Saxony-Anhalt.
SecondaryPolitProSaxony-Anhalt Election Polls & Voting Intentions 2026 — tracking current polling trends for the September 2026 state election with AfD as the leading party.