Russia and Belarus account for 40% of global potash supply.

Omissions

• The claim does not specify a time period, yet Russia and Belarus's combined share has fluctuated — from approximately 35% in 2020 to over 40% in 2021, and potentially lower after 2022 due to sanctions on Belarus.
• The claim uses 'supply' (offre), which can refer to production, exports, or marketable supply; the figure varies depending on which metric is used.
• The speaker did not cite any source for the 40% figure.
• Belarus's share fell sharply in 2022 — from 20% to as low as 9% — due to Western sanctions, according to the Centre for Eastern Studies (OSW). The combined figure may therefore have been lower in recent years than the 40% cited.

Sources

• PrimaryEU Joint Research Centre (JRC)Together they accounted for about 35% of global potash production in 2020.
• PrimaryMinistry of Foreign Affairs of Belarus — Aide-mémoire on global food securityIn 2021, Belarus and Russia almost equally accounted for more than 40 per cent of potash supplies, with 35.9 per cent covered by Canada and 5.8 per cent by the rest of the world.
• PrimaryNatural Resources Canada — Potash FactsCanada, Russia and Belarus typically dominate global potash production, together accounting for 70.5% in 2024.
• SecondaryMarketDataForecast — Global Potash Market ReportOther major producers include Russia and Belarus, which together contribute nearly 40% of global supply.
• SecondaryCentre for Eastern Studies (OSW) — Belarusian exports of potash fertilisersOfficial government data indicate that Belarus's share in the global potash market fell from 20% to just 9% in 2022.